GENAI-X – Uncertainty Quantification
Contact

Aishwarya Venkataramanan

Overview

Conventional machine learning assumes stable data distributions. Yet in real-world environmental systems, data is often sparse, uncertain, and shaped by changing climatic drivers. This non-stationarity undermines model reliability and calls for AI systems that can adapt to shifting baselines and novel conditions. Earth and environmental science applications such as flood prediction, drought forecasting, and landslide risk assessment are particularly vulnerable to these challenges, as they operate across heterogeneous spatial and temporal scales where the frequency and intensity of extreme events are themselves changing. AI models trained on historical observations may therefore fail silently when deployed in novel environmental regimes, producing overconfident predictions precisely when trustworthy uncertainty estimates are most critical.

This project aims to develop uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods that address these fundamental challenges and enable reliable, trustworthy AI predictions in Earth and environmental science systems. The core objective is to design UQ frameworks that remain well-calibrated under distributional shift and data sparsity. Beyond methodological advances, the project seeks to bridge AI research and real-world environmental decision-making, supporting evidence-based strategies for climate adaptation, hazard assessment, and sustainable resource management.

Links
GENAI-X Project Page
Publications
2025
Aishwarya Venkataramanan, Joachim Denzler:
Distance-informed Neural Processes.
Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS). 2025.
[bibtex] [web] [doi] [code] [abstract]
Aishwarya Venkataramanan, Paul Bodesheim, Joachim Denzler:
Probabilistic Embeddings for Frozen Vision-Language Models: Uncertainty Quantification with Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models.
International Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI). Pages 4309-4328. 2025.
[bibtex] [web] [doi] [code] [abstract]
Aishwarya Venkataramanan, Sai Karthikeya Vemuri, Adithya Ashok Chalain Valapil, Joachim Denzler:
Uncertainty-aware Physics-informed Neural Networks for Robust CARS-to-Raman Signal Reconstruction.
EurIPS Workshop on Differentiable Systems and Scientific Machine Learning (EurIPS-WS). 2025.
[bibtex] [abstract]